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Australias HousePrice Risks Limited to Sydney Real Time

Australias HousePrice Risks Limited to Sydney Real Time


Australian house prices falling at fastest rate in a decade | Australia news | The Guardian

This graph shows the ration of house prices to disposable income per capita (1975 =

Australian property bubble

Infographic: A graph showing house price-to-income ...

... to income ratio to the high end of OECD countries, which exposes Australia to financial instability should households decide to cut their level of debt.

This includes dwellings approved but not yet constructed and private dwellings under construction. Source:

Real house prices 1962-2015 chart

This can be seen in the next chart with Sydney leading the cycle over the last 20 years and Perth lagging.

Several years of housing construction – probably at even faster rates than currently – will be needed to erode the large backlog ...

Australia-Sydney-Property Prices-Index-Corelogic


... up driving high home prices. Thanks to the recent surge in unit supply this is now being worked off. But there is no broad based oversupply problem.

Falling prices were inevitable.

House prices predicted to fall between 10-20 per cent | 7.30

Property prices in Perth have been on a slow downward slide.

Since the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, commentators have tended to focus on the risks that property market booms and busts pose to the banking sector.

House prices to fall 20% in Sydney and Melbourne, says top economist | Australia news | The Guardian

The national housing markets continued to lose steam last month, with price falls largely confined to Sydney and Melbourne, which together comprise ...

Australia - high growth rate strategy at 2.1% - source Wikipedia & ABS.

house prices real estate


So how should policymakers respond to these risks?

The Economist explains

House prices in Australia: Construction is not bringing costs down enough

With the housing market off the boil, could it end in doom and gloom? | Greg Jericho | Business | The Guardian

Bank watchdog lifts restrictions on interest-only lending as house prices fall | Australia news | The Guardian

A woman walks by Chinese language advertisements for Australian property in Sydney's Chinatown on June 21

Confidence in housing market 'collapsing', NAB survey says | Australia news | The Guardian

House prices in Sydney are expected to suffer the most, with predicted losses of 5 percent per annum until 2020. (AAP)

... of econometric modelling expertise to produce 10 year forecasts of residential properties for Australia at the capital cities and rest of state level.

Australians told to expect 'longest and deepest' housing slump

House prices are now ~4% lower than this time last year — the weakest performance in the housing market since 2012.

The Australian property market is cooling.

Auctioneer Vic Lorusso, left, at a property that failed to sell in Roseville,

In Melbourne, there was a 57 per cent surge. The city's housing values are now down 4.9 per cent since last year's peak.

A for sale sign out the front of an apartment building.

Sydney officially has the world's second most unaffordable housing.

House prices Australia: 60 Minutes reveals you could lose 40% of home's value

investing in property

There is no shortage of opinions and predictions on which way the Australian property market will

Falling prices were inevitable.

What comes after the housing boom? | Pursuit by The University of Melbourne

Sydney and Melbourne drag house prices to first annual fall for six years

Australia-New Zealand-Property Prices-Picture Graphic-March 31-2017

Consistent with this, average capital city vacancy rates are around long-term average levels, are low in Sydney and are falling in Melbourne (helped by ...

Expect prices to fall 5-10% (maybe less in Melbourne given strong population growth) over the next two years. This is like what occurred around 2005, ...

And much of the increase in debt has gone to older, wealthier Australians, who are better able to service their loans.

Housing market dangers being especially acute in Sweden, Australia, Canada and Hong Kong. Eliana Schoulal. The risks were relatively limited ...


Australia's property boom ends as credit squeeze begins | Financial Times

Australia's housing: Hard crash or soft landing? | Pursuit by The University of Melbourne

House for sale with reduced price

Houses stand by the waterfront in the suburb of Woolwich in Sydney, Australia.

Dwelling Price-to-Income Ratio

CPD: Australian housing – don't panic

His Meriton group has seen prices for new units in Sydney fall about 15 per cent during the past year. However, Triguboff says the number of units sold ...

The Sydney falls are broadbased across all the city's subregions, Lawless says, adding that this fall is affected by credit while previous downturns had ...

Sydney and Melbourne make up about half Australia's residential real estate market, so wobbles there

Apartments under construction in Sydney

Queenstown house sold for $60,000

graph - rate the amount of rent you're paying

A large dining table is seen near the balcony of a brightly lit inner suburb apartment

A real estate agent and potential Chinese home buyer from Shanghai look over the Sydney Opera

Houses in Glebe, Hobart

The Sydney falls are broadbased across all the city's subregions, Lawless says, adding that this fall is affected by credit while previous downturns had ...

Illustration of house blowing a bubble

Asia Risk is delighted to present our 13th annual Risk Australia conference, the leading incubator for risk practitioners and investment professionals to ...

FILE PHOTO: A house under construction can be seen behind an advertising banner at a

Falling Australian house prices a warning for NZ: commentator | Stuff.co.nz

Infographic: ...

property prices

China's capital controls send tremors through Australia's property market


A rise in unemployment, perhaps prompted by a slowdown in China or a stuttering U.S. recovery, would force many people to save more – and to consume less.

Agents say Australia, particularly Sydney, is considered a safe property investment by Chinese. James Brickwood

Falling Australian house prices a warning for NZ: commentator | Stuff.co.nz

Source: OECD, RBA, AMP Capital

We have taken his projections and run them across our Core Market Model. If his forecast were to eventuate, we think around 17% of borrowing households ...

Renting vs. buying time to rethink the great Australian dream of owning a house: Shane Geha | Daily Telegraph

Demographia From the Demographia report. On Tuesday, Domain reported Sydney's median house price ...

Barfoot & Thompson's monthly median sale price figures shows prices last month were 10 per cent

Risk Management

... when the average person in Sydney can't actually afford to buy the average house in Sydney, no matter how many decades they try to push the loan out.

US house price trend (1998–2008) as measured by the Case-Shiller index

But pushing Australians into buying residential property isn't exactly up there in the long list of their sins, despite last night's ...

A rental property in Karratha

With rental yields at record lows, Sydney apartment prices could fall: Bis Oxford Economics

Auckland's median home value hit $810,000 last month. Photo / NZ Herald

The number of dwellings built in Sydney last financial year outpaced underlying demand. Photo:

Infographic: ...